Brexit – The EU27 Perspective

Strategic Communications | Corporate Finance & Restructuring

October 30, 2017

FTI Consulting is an independent global business advisory firm dedicated to helping organisations manage change, mitigate risk and resolve disputes.

With dedicated teams in key political and commercial capitals, FTI Consulting is well placed to help you navigate your Brexit challenges and manage commercial risk. Our Brexit Leadership team outlines some of the main considerations around the role of the EU27 and the key divorce issues at play.

Some of the main considerations around the role of the EU27 are as follows:

Sequencing

  • EU27: discussions on orderly withdrawal before negotiations on future relationship
  • UK: negotiate in parallel future FTA
  • Politically explosive:
  • Citizens’ rights
  • Financial settlement
  • Irish border
  • Gibraltar
  • Euroclearing
  • ECJ jurisdiction

Business as Usual in the Bloc – Ongoing Priorities

  • CMU, Eurozone, growth and jobs, investment
  • Defence ambitions
  • Climate and energy
  • DSM
  • Migrant crisis

Uncertainties

  • Fallout from UK General Election: strength of UK PM’s hand; negotiating team
  • Outcome of German Federal elections (September)
  • US positioning: forging stronger EU 27 unity

EU27 Sentiment

  • Unity and protection of EU “project” key for EU27
  • Financial settlement core issue
  • Risk of division over priorities and details during negotiations (trade, citizens’ rights)
  • No desire to punish: lose/lose and how to manage risks

More Info

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Key Contact

Hans Hack

Senior Managing Director